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A Cyber Bookie

February, 18 2012


Struggling Reds face old nemesis in Padres' Maddux

Baseball Betting Lines

05/14/2007 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Greg Maddux will attempt to continue his mastery of Cincinnati hitters when his San Diego Padres begin a three-game set with the Reds tonight at Petco Park.

Maddux was a perfect 5-0 in five starts last year against the Reds while pitching with both the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers. He allowed just five earned runs over 30 innings for a 2.40 earned run average.

In his career, Maddux is 23-16 with a 3.52 ERA in 52 starts versus Cincinnati.

The right-hander has a 2.95 ERA over his last three starts this season, but has picked up a no decision in both of his last two outings. He faced long- time teammate John Smoltz and the Braves last time out and gave up just one run on three hits over 5 1/3 innings. He is 2-2 overall on the season.

The Padres won two of three against the Cardinals over the weekend, including Sunday's 3-0 victory. Justin Germano allowed just three hits in seven shutout innings to lead San Diego.

Germano (1-0) struck out three and walked none, while Trevor Hoffman pitched the ninth to pick up his 10th save in 12 chances.

Adrian Gonzalez went 2-for-3 with an RBI, while Marcus Giles returned to San Diego's lineup after missing Saturday night's game with a strained oblique and went 1-for-3 with two runs scored.

The Reds are in a miserable funk, as the club has lost six of seven and 10 of its last 12 overall. Cincinnati was swept by the Dodgers in three games over the weekend, falling to Los Angeles 10-5 in Sunday's finale.

Ken Griffey Jr. hit a three-run home run and Juan Castro added two hits and an RBI for the Reds, who play the fourth test of a nine-game road trip tonight.

Kirk Saarloos (0-3) got the loss after he was charged with four runs while recording just one out in relief. Bobby Livingston was allowed four runs on 10 hits in 5 1/3 innings in the start.

Matt Belisle takes the hill for the Reds and was the recipient of some bad fielding in a loss his last time out. The right-hander fell to 3-2 on the year Wednesday against Colorado after the Cincinnati was defeated, 3-2.

Belisle allowed all three runs, though none of them were earned. He gave up a two-run homer to Lance Berkman after a two-out error by Edwin Encarnacion in the third. Encarnacion committed another two-out error the following inning, eventually leading to a run-scoring single by pitcher Woody Williams.

The righty has faced San Diego four times in relief, but never as a starter. He is 0-1 with a 2.45 ERA in that span.

The Padres won four of six against the Reds in 2006, including a 2-1 mark at home. The Reds swept a three-game series in Petco Park in 2005, though.


<< Brewers, Phillies start set at Citizens Bank Park
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Milwaukee Brewers will try to bounce back from a rough weekend set this evening when they pay a visit to the Philadelphia Phillies in the opener of a four-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Milwaukee still owns the bes

<< Willis, Marlins continue road swing in Pittsburgh
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Florida ace Dontrelle Willis takes the mound this evening, as the Marlins continue their road trip with a four-game set against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. Willis is 5-2 with a 5.40 ERA in eight starts this season.

<< Mets try to solve red-hot Marquis in opener with Cubs
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Mets continue their current 10-game homestand this evening, when the club kicks off a four-game series with the Chicago Cubs at Shea Stadium. New York, which is second in the National League East standings,

<< Streaking Nats welcome Braves to RFK Stadium
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Coming off their first series victory of the season, the Washington Nationals will shoot for their fourth straight win tonight when the Atlanta Braves pay a visit to RFK Stadium in the opener of a four-game series. The Nat

<< Spurs, Suns clash in Game 4 at AT&T Center
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Phoenix Suns try to avoid going down 3-1 in their best- of-seven series with the San Antonio Spurs, as the clubs continue their Western Conference semifinals set tonight at the AT&T Center. Game 5 is scheduled for Wedn

For the Birds: Blue Jays open set with Orioles up north >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With a troubling late-inning loss still fresh on their minds, the Baltimore Orioles continue a road trip with the first of three consecutive games against the Toronto Blue Jays set for tonight at Rogers Centre.

Bengals sign DT Allen >>
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cincinnati Bengals signed defensive tackle Kenderick Allen to a one-year deal on Monday. Allen was limited to two games for the Green Bay Packers last season after being placed on the Reserve/In

Dodgers hope to end longtime struggles against Cards >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The St. Louis Cardinals put a nine-game winning streak against the Los Angeles Dodgers on the line when the clubs open a three-game set tonight at Dodger Stadium. The Cardinals won their final two meetings with th

Tigers to get a taste of BoSox's Dice-K >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two of the American League's top teams in the early going begin a high-profile four-game series tonight at Boston's Fenway Park, where the Red Sox entertain the defending AL champion Detroit Tigers in a battle of current

KC heads to Oakland for four-game set >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Oakland Athletics resume a long homestand against one of baseball's worst road teams tonight, as the Kansas City Royals invade McAfee Coliseum for the opener of a four-game series. Oakland got its 10-game hom

Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

Additional basketball lines can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com - this sportsbook accepts credit cards.


SPORTS BETTING - Tennis is an underrated and under-utilized bettors' sport.

Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"

A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."

Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.

In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.

"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."

Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.

But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"

Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.

This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.

Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.

In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.

No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.

And that's all any bettor can ask for.

To visit this sports book go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting needs.


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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat 1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park. 6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning eight and walking three. game slide. Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went 1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ... read more


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NFL FOLDS EUROPEAN LEAGUE

The NFL folded its development league in Europe after 16 years Friday. The decision was made so the league could put a stronger international focus season games outside the United States. The announcement came less than a week after the Hamburg Sea Devils beat the 28 in the World Bowl championship in Frankfurt before a crowd of 48,125. Five of the league's six teams were based in Germany, while the other was in Amsterdam, Netherlands. season games outside the United States. The first such game is October 28 in London, England between the Miami Dolphins and the New York Giants. focus the NFL's strategy on initiatives with global impact, including worldwide media coverage of our sport and the staging of seas... more

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