Afleet Express holds off Fly Down to win Travers
Horseracing Betting Lines
08/28/2010 -
Saratoga Springs, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Afleet Express, ridden by Javier
Castellano, edged a late running Fly Down to capture Saturday's $1 million
Travers Stakes at Saratoga Race Course. The time for the 1 1/4-miles was
2:03.28 on a fast track.
The Travers, also known as the Mid-Summer Derby, had a field of 11 evenly
matched three-year-olds for the 1 1/4-miles. Haskell runner-up Trappe Shot
went off as the 7-2 favorite and Jim Dandy winner A Little Warm was second at
9-2.
Setting the pace was Jim Dandy runner-up Miner's Reserve followed by First
Dude, A Little Warm and Trappe Shot. Entering the far turn Miner's Reserve and
jockey David Cohen continued on the lead with First Dude, second in the
Preakness, still pressing the pace.
Around the final turn Afleet Express assumed the lead along the rail as
Belmont Stakes runner-up Fly Down and rider Jose Lezcano rallied on the
outside.
Afleet Express took the lead coming out of the turn and into the stretch. Fly
Down came charging down the middle of the track and drew even with the leader
with a furlong to run.
The two battled down the stretch right to the wire. The two colts hit the wire
together in what appeared to be a dead-heat. Afleet Express, one of three
Afleet Alex sons in the Travers, nosed out Fly Down with a bob of the head.
First Dude finished third with Afleet Again fourth. Completing the order
finish was A Little Warm, Friend Or Foe, Miner's Reserve, Ice Box, Trappe
Shot, Super Saver and Admiral Alex. Afleet Again and Admiral Alex were also
sired by 2005 champion three-year-old colt Afleet Alex.
Afleet Express returned $16.00, $7.80 and $4.90. Fly Down paid $6.90 and
$5.20, and First Dude paid $4.60 to show.
Trained by Jimmy Jerkens, Afleet Express is owned by Gainesway Stable and
Martin Cherry. The colt earned $600,000 with the win to bring his career
earnings to $835,140.
"There are people who go and run in the Derby just to run in the Derby,"
Jerkens said this week, "even though they know they're going to get beat 100
lengths. I don't see what you get out of that. To be in here in a race that
has gotten as prestigious as this has and to have a horse with a good chance
is pretty exciting."
In his seven-race career, Afleet Express has won four times with a second and
a third. He was third in Saratoga's Jim Dandy Stakes and won the Pegasus
Stakes at Monmouth Park in June. Castellano has been aboard Afleet Express the
last four races.
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Browns DB Sorensen leaves game >>
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What Is the Point Spread?
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
How to Read Point Spreads
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
- Philly wins the actual game by any amount of points
OR
- Philly loses the game by less than 7 points.
-
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
For Those Who Like to Consider Things Mathematically
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
- Subtracting the point spread from the favorite’s score (thus the minus sign before the number) and then compare to the underdog’s score
OR
- Adding the point spread to the underdog’s score (thus the plus sign before the number) and then compare to the favorite’s score
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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